PEP 2023-2050 Vol. I — Section C (Energy Situationer)

PDF pages: 56–71 (internal doc pages 47–62) Chapter heading: Chapter I — Energy Situationer


Key Takeaways

  1. 2022 was a post-pandemic rebound year — GDP grew 7.6% (fastest in 4 decades), but TFEC grew only 2.4% to 35.9 MTOE, signaling aggregate efficiency improvement.
  2. Transport dominates end-use demand at 34.4% of TFEC; a 12.2% single-year surge from restored mobility drove it to the top GHG emitter among end-use sectors (+12.3% to 35.4 MtCO₂e).
  3. Biomass accounts for 57.8% of household energy — cooking fuel is predominantly fuelwood and charcoal; LPG and electricity still account for just 29.5% + 12.3%.
  4. Coal is 59.6% of power generation — the single largest target for decarbonization policy.
  5. Malampaya is in terminal decline — natural gas production fell 7.4% to 2.6 MTOE; Ilijan GSPA expired June 2022; natural gas’ 16% generation share will need replacement.
  6. Self-sufficiency fell to 49.4% (from 50.8%); net imports rose 7.6% to 31.1 MTOE — import dependency worsening.
  7. Indonesia supplies 97.7% of coal imports — single-source dependency risk for the fuel that powers 59.6% of generation.
  8. Total GHG: 135.7 MtCO₂e (+4.0%); mitigation measures avoidance 18.1 MtCO₂e (11.8% of hypothetical); demand-side efficiency (EEC+EEF) accounts for 75% of avoided emissions.
  9. Energy intensity improved 2.6% to 3.1 TOE/MPhP — RA 11285 programs are delivering, but CES target requires 4–6%/yr improvement.
  10. RE installed capacity well below awarded potential — wind: 427 MW installed vs 45,631 MW potential; solar: 1,530 MW vs 21,413.6 MW — scale-up opportunity is massive.

Sub-sections Covered

Sub-sectionContent
A. TFECBy sector (5) and by fuel (6 categories); sector deep-dives
B. TransformationOil refining (Petron Bataan); power generation mix and fuel input
C. TPESPrimary energy mix; indigenous production; Malampaya decline
D. Environmental ImpactGHG by sector, by fuel; GHG avoidance table (Table 6)
E. Energy-Economy IndicatorsEnergy intensity; elasticity; per capita; GHG intensity

Key Numbers

Metric2022 Value
TFEC35.9 MTOE
TPES61.6 MTOE
Net imports31.1 MTOE
Self-sufficiency49.4%
Power generation111.5 TWh
Coal share of power gen59.6%
RE share of power gen (approx)~33%
Total GHG135.7 MtCO₂e
GHG avoidance18.1 MtCO₂e (11.8%)
Energy intensity3.1 TOE/MPhP
Household electrification96.2% (Dec 2022)

Named Entities Encountered

EntityTypeNotes
Petron CorporationprivateSole domestic oil refiner; Bataan Refinery, Limay, Bataan; 180,000 bpd
Semirara Mining Corporationprivate99.5% of domestic coal production; Antique province
Philippine Statistics AuthoritygovernmentGDP and national accounts data source
Civil Aeronautics BoardgovernmentPassenger movement data (footnote)

Laws and Instruments Referenced

InstrumentSubjectRelevance
RA 11285Energy Efficiency and Conservation Act (2019)Governs energy intensity improvement programs for designated establishments
Biofuels Law (RA 9367)Mandated blending schedule for biodiesel and bioethanolExplains biofuel consumption growth
Philippine NDCNationally Determined ContributionFramework for GHG reduction commitment
SDG 7.3Energy efficiency doubling targetInternational benchmark for intensity improvements

Deferred Items

  • RA 11285 law page — thin source text here; defer to EEC Act deep-ingest in Vol. II
  • RA 9367 (Biofuels Act) law page — only passing reference; defer to downstream fuels ingest
  • Malampaya gas field — entity/resource page warranted but thin in this section; defer to upstream energy or natural gas section
  • Civil Aeronautics Board (CAB) — not added to entities.md; footnote reference only
  • NDC commitments — mentioned briefly; full treatment deferred to Section R (International/NDC)

Raw extraction: pdftotext output