PDP 2023-2050 Ch.1 — Power Sector Highlights 2021–2022 (Demand/Supply, Transmission, Distribution, Market, Missionary Electrification)

Document: Power Development Plan 2023-2050, Chapter 1 (Power Sector Highlights 2021-2022), Sections 1–6 Pages: 12–30 (PDF pages = document pages; offset 0) Published: February 2025

Section 1: Electricity Demand and Supply (pp. 13–16)

Peak demand:

• 2021: 16,036 MW (1.8% below forecast; above 2019 pre-pandemic of 15,581 MW)
• 2022: 16,596 MW (3.2% below forecast of 17,138 MW); driven by economic recovery

Gross power generation 2022: 111,516 GWh (+5.1% from 106,115 GWh in 2021)

2022 installed capacity: 28,258 MW (+1,376 MW / +5.1% from 26,882 MW in 2021); new commercial ops: 759 MW coal, 279 MW natural gas, 350 MW RE (mostly biomass and solar). ESS tracked separately at 156 MW for the first time.

EVOSS endorsements (Aug 2020–Dec 2022): 831 total — 563 to ERC, 222 SIS, 34 NCIP, 10 BOI, 2 DAR.

Section 1.4: Coal Moratorium (pp. 17–19)

Advisory issued 22 December 2020. Total pipeline at moratorium time: ~9,008 MW committed/indicative in Table 2 plus ~11,000 MW with SIS clearance (confirmation of non-coverage pending). Key developers: Mariveles Power Generation Corp. (1,650 MW), Masinloc Power Partners (700 MW), FDC Misamis Power Corp. (270 MW), Palm Concepcion Power Corp. (135 MW), Atimonan One Energy Inc./Meralco Powergen Corp. (1,200 MW, changed to gas), SMC Global Power Holdings Corp. (~2,128 MW indicative), KEPCO Philippines Corp. (1,000 MW indicative).

Section 1.5: GOMP (pp. 19–20)

DC2020-02-0004 mandates NGCP to submit 3-year maintenance schedule each Q3. Current: GOMP 2023-2025 (submitted Oct 2022). See Grid Operating and Maintenance Program (GOMP) .

Section 1.6: Decommissioning/Mothballing Policy (p. 20)

8 FGDs + 3 public consultations completed (Jul–Nov 2022) across Luzon, Visayas, Mindanao. Consultees included ERC, PEMC, IEMOP, NGCP, NPC, TransCo, PSALM, DENR, BOI, PIPA, RE associations (PHILHYDRO, National Geothermal Association of PH, Wind Energy Developers Association of PH, Biomass Renewable Energy Alliance, Philippine Solar and Storage Energy Alliance, Confederation of Solar Power Developers of PH). Policy finalizing per DC2010-03-0003, Section 2.8.

Section 2: Transmission and System Operation (pp. 21–23)

NGCP grid (Dec 2022): 48,801 MVA substation / 21,027 ckt-km total (Luzon: 35,641 MVA / 9,632 ckt-km; Visayas: 5,849 MVA / 5,393 ckt-km; Mindanao: 7,311 MVA / 6,002 ckt-km). Source: TDP 2023-2040 Consultation Report.

31 transmission projects completed 2021-2022 (notable: HSJ Balsik-San Jose 500kV Dec 2022, Mariveles-Balsik 500kV Apr 2022, CNP Stage 3 Dec 2022, CNP Stage 2 Dec 2022, MVIP partial Dec 2022).

AS-CSP: DC2021-10-0031 (Oct 2021); 38 bidders awarded Notice of Award; 36 ASPAs executed.

P2P transmission endorsements: 57 (Jan 2021–Dec 2022); 2 via EVOSS from Nov 2022.

Section 3: Distribution (pp. 23–25)

Captive customers: 20.3M (2020) → 22.6M (2021), 92% residential. Sources: 2021-2030 DDP and 2022-2031 DDP.

DU CAPEX: 2020 — 2,736 ckt-km sub-transmission, 67,515 ckt-km distribution, 20,461 MVA substation. 2021 — 2,660 / 48,509 / 21,340 MVA.

CSP reform: DC2023-06-0021 (30 Jun 2023) — CSP rules aligned with ERC and NEA for ECs.

Section 4: Supply (pp. 25–27)

RCOA (Dec 2022): 2,073 total participants (1,222 at ≥1MW; 426 at 750kW–1MW; 275 at 500–749kW; 38 RES; 15 local RES; 25 SOLR; 63 Retail Metering). Retail aggregation pilot: 24 Jun 2022 (ERC + MERALCO + UP Diliman).

Net Metering (Dec 2022): 7,583 end-users / 63.2 MWp across 65 DUs (cf. 11,707 / 101.5 MWp Dec 2023 per PEP).

GEOP (Dec 2022): 18 operating permits; 199 customers (Luzon + Visayas); 60.99 MW (cf. 263 / 87 MW Sep 2023 per PEP).

Section 5: Electricity Market (pp. 27–28)

WESM Mindanao: commercial operation declared 26 Jan 2023 per DC2022-12-0039.

Reserve Market: targeting full commercial ops December 2023 (DC Q3 2023 announcement planned; transactions to become financially binding).

Preferential dispatch for RE: DC2022-10-0031 (05 Oct 2022) — all intermittent and FIT-eligible RE (wind, solar, run-of-river hydro, ocean) receive preferential dispatch in WESM. Biomass, geothermal, and impounding hydro may opt in.

Section 6: Missionary Electrification (pp. 28–30)

Off-grid demand (Dec 2022): 332 MW total (Luzon 79%, Mindanao 13%, Visayas 8%). Off-grid supply: 674 MW rated / 548 MW dependable; New Power Providers (NPPs) dominant.

NPC off-grid transmission (Dec 2022): 5 areas — Mindoro 449 ckt-km/95 MVA; Palawan 359 ckt-km/60 MVA; Catanduanes 100 ckt-km/20 MVA; Masbate 149 ckt-km/20 MVA; Marinduque 59 ckt-km/20 MVA. Total: 1,115.72 ckt-km / 215 MVA. Source: NPC MEP 2023-2027.

MEDP 2021-2025 published 17 Feb 2023 on DOE website; updates 2016-2020 MEDP under DC2019-01-0001 (Omnibus Guidelines on Enhancing Off-Grid Power Development).

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